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CREATE-BARD Project and IARPA Overview and Funding Opportunities

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Monash Univeristy, E7 Lecture Theatre

14 Alliance Lane

Clayton, VIC 3800

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Monash University will be welcoming ​ Dr​ Steven Rieber, Program Manager ​of the Crowdsourcing Evidence, Argumentation, Thinking and Evaluation (CREATE) project at IARPA on Tuesday 4th July 2017. Steven will give an overview of future funding opportunities and take questions afterwards.

Please join us from 3.30pm for networking and nibbles. The program will commence at 4pm with Ann Nicholson, from Monash University introducing "Bayesian Argumentation via Delphi (BARD)".

IARPA (the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity) envisions and leads high-risk, high-payoff research that delivers innovative technology for future overwhelming intelligence advantage. Their interdisciplinary research portfolio is diverse, including math, physics, chemistry, biology, neuroscience, linguistics, political science, cognitive psychology and more. This talk will provide an overview of IARPA's portfolio and discuss current and upcoming funding opportunities.

Dr. Steven Rieber is a program manager at IARPA in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), where he leads the CREATE program, which is developing methods to improve the reasoning in analytic products. Before joining IARPA, Dr. Rieber worked in ODNI’s Analytic Integrity and Standards (AIS) group, where he led efforts to improve analytic tools, training and metrics. At AIS, he launched the Intelligence Community Prediction Market, developed Analysis 101 (the Intelligence Community’s first joint training course for new analysts) and led the development of a standardized test for critical thinking in intelligence analysis.

Dr. Rieber received his Ph.D. in philosophy from Princeton University. He was a professor at Georgia State University before coming to the Intelligence Community, where he served as a scholar-in-residence at CIA’s Kent School for Intelligence Analysis prior to joining ODNI. His research interests are forecasting, critical thinking and human judgment.

Prof Ann Nicholson, Monash University will be introducing "Bayesian Argumentation via Delphi (BARD)"

BARD is the FIT Monash's answer to the call by IARPA for proposals to design and develop new Structured Representations for crowdsourcing and improving argumentative analysis for the Intelligence Community.

The Structured Representations we've been working on are causal Bayesian networks, normative models which have wide applicability in applied science modelling and which have been shown to improve actual modelling and decision making in practice. In particular, they can assist people to overcome, or mitigate, many of the cognitive fallacies and errors uncovered by cognitive psychologists.

Our crowdsourcing technique is online, automated Delphi, a method of anonymizing expert deliberation in order to reduce personality issues and, again, reduce cognitive biases. We are working to combine the two in a set of highly usable Human-Computer Interfaces, yielding Bayesian Argumentation via Delphi.

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Monash Univeristy, E7 Lecture Theatre

14 Alliance Lane

Clayton, VIC 3800

Australia

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